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Macroeconomic Update: I remain significantly more bearish than consensus!

5 10 月, 2023    ·  5 minutes

Of late recessionary talk has cooled off. Jerome Powell and the Fed are no longer expecting a recession. The consensus is for the US to have a soft-landing allowing core … Continue reading “”

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冬天来了

18 11 月, 2022    ·  2 minutes

最近,我花了很多心思考虑宏观问题。 有些时候,宏观胜过微观。 … 继续阅读“冬天来了”

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WTF Is Going On? 3 Outcomes for What Could Happen From Here; What Needs to Happen To Avoid Recession? Why Stagnation is Most Likely and What This Means for Startups and Venture

9 5 月, 2022    ·  2 minutes

I had the pleasure of chatting with Harry Stebbings of 20VC about the current macro environment. In this far ranging conversation we discuss why a recession is the most likely … Continue reading “”

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伟大的未知

11 3 月, 2022    ·  3 minutes

一年前,我在《欢迎来到 “万物泡沫“ … 继续阅读“伟大的未知”

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The Moaning 20s

20 4 月, 2021    ·  9 minutes

By Matias Barbero “No more …. masks. Everything open too. School opens this week — Thursday! Did you ever? As if they couldn’t have waited till Monday!” With multiple vaccines … Continue reading “”

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欢迎来到 “万物泡沫”!

9 2 月, 2021    ·  3 minutes

市场狂热的警兆无处不在。 市盈率很高,而且还在攀升。 比特币 … 继续阅读“欢迎来到 “万物泡沫”!”

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COVID-19 – 11 Fabrice Grinda – Survivre : le seul KPI du moment

24 4 月, 2020    ·  2 minutes

Discussion sympa avec Matthieu de Generation Do It Yourself sur COVID, l’economie, les startups Pour ce 11ème épisode dédié aux entrepreneurs face à la crise du covid-19 (et deuxième réalisé … Continue reading “”

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The global economy and its impact on startups in the time of COVID-19

20 3 月, 2020    ·  14 minutes

In February I suggested that the SARS-CoV-2 virus and the COVID-19 disease it causes may be the black swan that push the global economy into recession. I suggested that uncertainty … Continue reading “”

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COVID-19 may be the black swan that pushes the global economy into recession

24 2 月, 2020    ·  4 minutes

If there is one thing that businesses and individuals hate even more than bad news, it’s uncertainty. Even if you scour the literature and CDC releases (such as this latest … Continue reading “”

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Interview in Les Echos (in French): Tech will make the World a Better Place

9 10 月, 2019    ·  5 minutes

Two weeks ago, I had the pleasure of hosting a salon dinner with members of French Founders prior to giving a keynote on the state and future of technology. It … Continue reading “”

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We are lucky to be alive right now!

20 2 月, 2017    ·  < 1 minute

In these fraught political times, it’s good to take a step back from the day to day minutia. In the grand scheme of things, global quality of life has dramatically … Continue reading “”

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Technology and the Future of Work

11 7 月, 2016    ·  5 minutes

Technological progress continues unabated. The astonishing rate of growth has fueled heated debates about implications on the future of labor and the nature of work. A decade ago, few would … Continue reading “”

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Donald Trump: The Startup Disrupting the GOP Establishment

30 3 月, 2016    ·  3 minutes

by Fabrice Grinda and Mike Lloyd Many people have been amazed at the support that Donald Trump has been able to amass since he threw his red “Make America Great … Continue reading “”

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Macro perspective: The startup party is far from over!

2 12 月, 2015    ·  6 minutes

Hang around venture capitalists in Silicon Valley and a clear sense of fear pervades the air. The main topic of conversation these days seems to be of humbled or fallen … Continue reading “”

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